Global natural gas markets remain increasingly driven by geopolitics, weather, and LNG infrastructure reliability. While U.S. storage remains healthy, tightening global supply risks continue to support longer-term volatility. This Week's Main Drivers • EIA Storage: +28 Bcf, below the +36 Bcf consensus, signaling balanced supply despite strong summer demand. • August NYMEX Expiration: The August natural gas contract settled at $2.725/MMBtu, keeping pressure on producers while

Source: NOAA Most natural gas traders are focused on storage, LNG exports, and geopolitics. But one of the biggest market drivers over the next year may already be forming in the Pacific. NOAA's latest outlook indicates a 97% probability that El Niño persists through early spring 2027, with an 81% chance of strengthening into a very strong event. If history is any guide, a Super El Niño could reshape weather patterns well beyond this winter. For natural gas markets, the first